文章|创造弹性

印花税的变更会抵消最近抵押贷款利率的上升吗?

December 5, 20225分钟阅读

经过Michael McGill

将变更到史宾名偏移的续期折扣-972x1296

Following consistent increases in the Bank of England Base Rate, mortgage rates have risen considerably. According toMoneyfactsthe average two-year fixed rate was 6.35% in mid-November,200bp更高than it was at the start of September. This has resulted in a significant increase in mortgage costs for both first-time buyers (FTBs) and those coming to an end of a fixed-term mortgage. For the average FTB property price in England of £261,000, this would take the monthly mortgage repayment from £1,270 to £1,562, an increase of £293*.

更肯定的是,同时宣布的印花税土地税(SDLT)的变化,并在2022 Autumn声明中重申,将通过降低购买房屋的交易成本来节省一些财务节省。SDLT的三个更改将在2025年3月之前进行:

  1. 买家需要开始支付SDLT的门槛已从125,000英镑增加到250,000英镑
  2. For FTBs, the threshold has been increased from £300,000 to £425,000
  3. FTB可以要求SDLT救济的物业的总价值从500,000英镑增加到62.5万英镑。超过此价值的任何东西仍会受到标准印花税费用的约束

与新SDLT阈值,一个家庭购买£250,000 would see SDLT cut from £2,500 to zero. This saving would offset 7.1 months of the increase in mortgage repayments (at current interest rates) on the home, which have increased from £1,530 to £1,883. FTBs could potentially see much larger savings. A FTB purchasing a £625,000 home would see their SDLT cut from £21,250 to £10,000, a saving of £11,250. This would offset the higher mortgage payments, which would increase by £701 on a home of this value, for over 30 months.

但是,尽管较高的抵押贷款利率会影响所有买家,但由于价格差异,印花税储蓄的节省将有所不同。鉴于南部的房价较高,大多数房屋搬运工将在SDLT上节省最高2500英镑。相比之下,该国北部的平均值较低,转化为较低的节省。例如,东北的买家平均每SDLT节省了531英镑(占东北地区平均物业价值的0.4%)。相比之下,SDLT节省将占东部和西米德兰兹郡财产价值的0.9%。

The changes to the FTB SDLT rates are almost irrelevant outside of London and the South East. The original threshold of £300,000 already gives FTBs complete exemption from SDLT in 72% of local authorities across England.

如果FTB购买价值在500,000英镑至625,000英镑之间的物业,则FTB可以根据新税率赚取的最大节省费用为11,250英镑。只有少数伦敦自治市镇,平均FTB财产价值高于此。在伦敦和东南部以外,由于绝大多数FTB购买了300,000英镑以下的房屋,因此实际上无需节省SDLT。

Figure 1: Average SDLT saving for home movers

将变化为stamp-duty-the-the-the-int Rises-In-Mortgage-In-In-In-in-Rist-Intaggure-1

Source: CBRE, ONS

图2:FTBS的平均SDLT节省

会更改为stamp-duty offset-the-int-Rise-in-Mortgage-In-in-Mortage-Ingure-2

Source: CBRE, ONS

Reductions in SDLT are designed to stimulate housing market demand, and the印花税假期在2020年至2021年之间,这样做非常有效。但是,对SDLT的最新变化可能会产生任何类似的影响,因为借贷成本和更广泛的通货膨胀前景的提高将超过。尽管如此,一些可以利用最高节省11,250英镑的FTB将能够使用它来减轻抵押贷款利率上升的打击。

To stimulate broad demand in the market, changes to SDLT would be better served by having a greater focus on aiding existing owners. The reason why many households are taking longer to make their next move is the large cost associated with moving. Providing greater SDLT relief to this cohort of the market will help release up stock for FTBs and have a larger impact on the overall market.

*根据90%LTV抵押贷款的抵押贷款利率从4.24%增加到6.35%的计算,该期限为25年

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