Article | Intelligent Investment

探索黑暗厨房;早期投资课?

2022年7月28日5分钟阅读

经过乔治·威尔金森多米尼克·伯克(Dominic Burke)

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这是什么概念?

“深色厨房”的概念 - 一家没有实物用餐的餐厅,而厨房只生产用于交付的产品 - 是一个相对较新的餐厅。它在消费者需求增加的背面迅速增长,尤其是在Covid-19大流行期间,到2030年,该行业可能价值1万亿美元。At the current UK growth rate, you could order from a new place every night for the next 57 years!

深色厨房业务模式通过提供传统高街餐厅空间的替代选择,更加高效,产生较低的开销,并且通常位于通常位于主要设施之外的密集的地区,他们可以从中为交付客户提供服务,从而吸引了租户。。

What is the opportunity for investors?

There are several attractive economic fundamentals associated with Dark Kitchens that have spurred the sector’s significant growth, particularly over the past few years.

占用者比传统的高街餐厅的成本低,包括较低的整体租金,更便宜的装修,初创企业和员工成本以及较小的业务率负担。他们还承担较小的风险,仅签署短期租赁或许可证。这是一个倾向于吸引大量初创企业的模型,随后的盟约强度通常受到限制。

通过购买深色厨房,投资者可以利用一个表明快速增长倾向的行业。当他们在租户的持久力量周围承担风险时,他们可以通过高现场密度运行来使其多样化。尽管该行业看起来像是一个从新的生活方式中捕获的机会,尤其是在经济状况变化时该行业的表现如何。

目前,这尤其相关,因为较高的粮食产量和能源成本构成了租户盈利能力的障碍,从而影响了运营商现金流的安全性。

实际上,操作模型与基础财产之间的联系是基本的。黑暗厨房占用的房地产通常是重新定位的以前的工业或办公空间,需要大量资本支出才能将空间转换为现代厨房。在某些情况下,初始支出等于给定的专业设备的财产值。因此,这需要运营经验和技能水平来管理业务,并确保良好的盈利能力和投资回报率。最终,在商业失败的情况下,它还需要对基本房地产及其潜在倒衰价值有很好的了解。结果,由于租赁期限结束时,经营者获得房地产而不是租赁空间通常是有利的,而不是租赁空间。

什么是前景?

Having witnessed significant growth during the pandemic, major players have reported huge growth; Uber Eats has reported a 103% year-on-year revenue increase since 2020. However, it is yet to be seen whether customer demand for delivery food is sustainable in the long-term. Current trends suggest that the sector is here to stay, as restaurants look to leverage the multi-channel revenue opportunity to tap into new customers. It is estimated that there were c.1,000,000 orders on fast food apps in 2021. Nevertheless, current economic conditions will test the resiliency of the sector with the best performing operators and investors alike being those that are able to ensure efficient running of operations, whilst maintaining secure underlying cash flows.

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